The first move out of that consolidation is always the trickiest part. The harder one to spot in essence.

Often enough the first move as mentioned before will be a consolidation that is finally about to break, or it will be a the end of a bigger bullish run.

This could be the shift that reverses price action. Let me simplify that for you.

On the left would be that higher time-frame LQ grab into MS

Whereas that last bit would all be a sell model in our books. This is why fracility is so important.

Everything in this blue rectangle is where we expect price to then build up to our designated Premium PDA.

Draw on liquidity.

In most cases we do not manage to get the first long opportunity - showcased in the arrow, labeled in blue.

The only time we manage to get the first long opportunity is if we get that clear reversal pattern that I have showcased you guys before, as seen below.

So now, after the first bullish move upwards, we want to look at the state of liquidity of that move.

Remember?

Illiquid vs liquid (you can kind of look at this as speed)

• - Illiquid being less transactable, so where price will leave behind intent and imbalances.

• - Liquid being more transactable, so price will NOT leave behind intent and Imbalances.

The first opportunity can therefore come back to the top of the OC - We need to identify that we are in the start phases of that sell model.

Don't look for science - See how quick price is moving away from OC.

• “Quick move, with more intent = Less of a pullback

• “Slow move, no intent + More of a pullback”

This is where we start implementing a lot of these intuitive factors - building the feeling

We want to start understanding that time starts playing a bigger role - AM vs PM hours.

ETC...

Overall, that is why there is no black and white playbook of what I want to look for. You can see that we are building a greater expertise here.

Potential Example - Session Continuation

Potential Example - Session Reversal

These are the main ones indeed - Framing either continuation or session reversals with time and price.

It will always be hard to spot the move in the OC

That move takes the most experience to see. But once we deviate from the OC, that is when you will start looking for that first retracement and so on.

So again, we will want to be buying into that area until the liquidity is absorbed at that high before we get the reversal.

Vice versa, with a buy model - we will be looking to short on the way down until our main DOL

From DOL to OC

This is super simple, what I see often enough - you miss the trade till the DOL, but then you can always still go for the OC as there is liquidity lying above there.